Davy - You have a decently high prercentage, it's hard to tell.
It's also very difficult to tell since the number of 5-1's at the end of this round could be 4 or 5, so it's gonna be real hard to get in if its 5. In the end what everyone needs to do is win their battle and wait it out, since it depends on so many factors you can't control.
This is one of the reasons I didn't make Top 16 last year. My % was average, but I ended 4-2 and had a chance, but ALL my opponents lost the last round, bringing my % down to 1% lower than the cutoff, and I missed $1000 plys alot of goodies on 1% cause of my crappy opponents.