NOC Two Mafias Mafia - Won by The Pack

imperfectluck

Banned deucer.
Vote No Lynch
There's absolutely nothing to go on and bad odds for random lynching. With two mafias village can also afford to wait a little more than usual and hope for crossfires.
 
Vote No Lynch
There's absolutely nothing to go on and bad odds for random lynching. With two mafias village can also afford to wait a little more than usual and hope for crossfires.
Ironic that someone named "imperfectluck" is saying this because perfect luck is exactly what would be needed for that to work.
Otherwise we're just losing two town (at the hands of the people who know who is and isn't on their side btw) 90% of the time
 

a fairy

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it's actually about a 30% chance from my quick math (presuming they do not select same target which the calculator im using cant account for)

mafia have a 2(pack) in 11(town+pack) chance of shooting pack
pack have a 2(maf) in 11(town+maf) chance of shooting mafia

about 18% chance for each

probability of either happening is 32.76%

unless ive misunderstood something
 

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