Smogon Champions League III - Week 5

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Posho

local gaymer weeb
is a Tiering Contributoris the Smogon Tour Season 23 Championis a Past SCL Champion
I'm sorry. You guys are doing a disservice to yourselves by trying to roast 16bit with terrible clown memes and French rap songs. The fact that Enzonana had to call you guys out is reason enough to just lay down and pretend this didn't happen.

Sincerely,

Posho
 

Finchinator

-OUTL
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OU Leader
Some interesting games

SV OU: mncmt vs Nat - I think these two are close in terms of gameplay and I would bold either of these two against most players in the pool; their results speak for themselves at a certain point with mncmt carving up SPL and Grand Slam while Nat has become one of the most consistent CG OU players, which is a sentence I did not think I would utter ever some years back admittedly. What gives Nat the edge is how detail oriented her team construction is and the concepts she applies. Every week I feel Nat produced another banger ranging from the Tera Dark duo of Clefable W1 and Volcanion W4 to the Alolan Muk days during WCOP. I really enjoy her fresher perspective on the metagame and seeing what she comes up with each week, almost making her games appointment viewing for OU enthusiasts like myself. mncmt is no pushover when it comes to brings either as he’s almost always using something solid and that’s all you need honestly, but sometimes his teams can be a tad more plain or known, which isn’t always a bad thing, but may be exploitable by someone with Nat’s degree of expertise. Of course, mncmt can outplay the craziest of endgames as we have seen, so this may not be a barrier. Very exciting game and not one that I would call more than a 55-45.

SV LC: Éric vs tazz - Eric has had an awesome start to the season and I think that his success has been pretty quiet — I was pretty surprised myself when I hopped into the sheet and saw firsthand. 4-0 is nothing to take lightly, even if his opponents aren’t all household names themselves. He’s clearly distinguished himself and for only 3k, that pops out even to someone who has not much idea about LC. Great for him after he entered with less outside hype than some of the bigger name LC players, including his opponent here. Speaking of his opponent: Last year tazz was really thorough with his prep and calculated with his plays in most games; I think he went around even, but as a teammate I was always pretty confident in him and knew he was doing his best with his process. Last week he ran into a buzzsaw, but I have confidence in tazz to parlay his overall success into a win here. He has the edge in experience and I don’t think tazz has used too many teams that take the wrong risks. This will be close and is one of those top lower tier matchups I circle and make sure to catch regardless of the tier tbh.

SV OU: Rubyblood vs Niko - Both players have gotten off to a strong start despite going 5k or less in the auction, which cannot be understated. Niko has always been a >5k player just based off of his style and comfort executing alone imo, but he came off a ban and some managers may have been hesitant. With that in mind, I’m not too shocked he’s done well and some of his team picks have been the right types of risks so far. Ruby has been great for the Islanders as well, being one of the few undefeated slots left in OU despite costing the minimum. I do think there are some trends he has, but at the same time outplaying potential and putting an aggressive spin on things leaves little room for them to be exploited. Between OLT and this, Ruby has continued to make a name for himself and should be seen as one of the better options in this pool. But I do side with Niko as he’s a bit more dynamic in the builder and experienced overall. I find it hard for newer players to sustain X-0 type of records too long just in general — kind of like why I think I have tazz beating Eric — and while Ruby has been around a bit, this is his biggest opportunity to date. Definitely see him going 6-3 or 7-2 for example, but Niko is a hard opponent to prep for and could give himself the edge here. Close game for sure, probably about a 50-50 to me.

SV NU: Danny vs GXE - Both are great lower tier players. I feel like GXE had the edge with playing just due to the sheer volume he has. He’s been one of the better NU players for a couple of years now and that’s reflected in his price, his results, etc. However, I think Danny has the edge in the builder. The midnight madman has a way with the concepts that go a bit further deep than the average player I’d say. I love seeing what he uses and even end up ripping some of the teams myself if I’m being honest. I do think he’s the slightly more varied of the two as well, but neither could be considered one dimensional I’d say. I think with a more volatile NU metagame and there being a lot of room to explore and “solve” certain matchups, I really like Danny’s chances of turning his 2-2 into a positive record deep into the season and starting here. GXE is obviously someone you cannot take lightly or bold against easily, but I think it’ll be a slower burn with him just because of the tier’s environment. I foresee him being better down the stretch than I do in the immediate future just as we still see different strands of offense with the weather craze shifting into the hard offense phase all sorting themselves out. Basically I rate GXE better overall, but I think Danny may have the edge in this exact moment.

SV OU: BIHI vs Malekith - Admitedly tough draw for BIHI to start his time in SV these weeks. He’s proven adaptable throughout the generations to an impressive extent, far surpassing others with his background/join date tbh. However, BIHI may very well have met his match here as Malekith is similarly capable across generations while he’s on an amazing streak right now. Kith dominated WCOP, made it all the way to classic finals, and has done well so far in this tournament as well. His teams are fresh, his play has been up to par with the best, and he continues to elevate himself no matter the generation or tournament. I’m really impressed by Malekith recently because of all of this, even if he fell short last week against someone I thought he may beat. BIHI is no slouch and I think him being shifted to OU will pay off in the long haul as he’s had success in CG as recently as last year iirc, but this is a tough draw and he may still adapting in his second week slotted. Probably around 60-40 Kith, but I love these veteran matchups.

SV Ubers: fade vs entrocefalo - I feel like the vibes surrounding Entro have all been pretty impeccable; he’s definitely feeling like the next best Ubers player to me from afar at least. Great in open, strong start so far, and plenty of results in smaller settings as well. I really think he may have a leg up on most opponents in the builder while keeping a solid profile as a player. fade I think is a really great player and while I was surprised he was in Ubers to start, he’s transitioned well enough with a 2-2 start. Just think this is one of the harder draws for someone who isn’t a mainer or Ubers tryhard honestly, but I do think he can outplay or take the right risks as a generally smart player tbh. Curious as we don’t see a ton of matchups like this in Ubers where it’s a top mainer against a generally strong player who has proven to be adaptable before, so that’ll be interesting from an outsider’s perspective. I lean Entro against the entire pool honestly, but I see Fade as a good candidate to do even better as the season goes on with more experience, so will be close.

SV OU: lax vs mind gaming - Both of these guys are great players who are on heaters rn. Mind has been branded as one of the best of the best this generation, and that’s no surprise if you take a glance at his results. Him and fog combining for 8-0, even if there was some fortune, is no surprise and feels more sustainable than one would imagine. Feel like you can count on mind for a win virtually every week regardless of the circumstance at this point and he’s entering a zone that very few others are in or have been in for prolonged periods of time. The consistency is unmatched atm and he’s really become a model for teambuilding success as well, specifically going back to Germany’s standout building throughout WCOP. It’s cool too as he’s used some fun things like Mimikyu and Hoopa, so it’s not just solid standard so much as it is tailored to specifics, which I can appreciate as a spectator. Lax is no slouch though and while he had a tough WCOP, everything since has been superb. Deep OLT run and a recent streak in this tournament has me very excited. Lax has always had the potential and sometimes it’s shown with scattered dominate showings, but he’s also flopped a few times, which makes this recent stretch really encouraging. I feel like he sees the tier better than ever in the builder and has a knack for creative solutions that work with his piloting, too. You’ll see his teams being mostly standard but with a couple of sets of Pokemon to distinguish them, and I think that’s a really nice sweet spot to aspire to be in as he’s never lost in the sauce, but also still hard to predict. It’s really hard to bold against mind gaming though and I worry that lax may be more focused on OLT, especially if the Shoguns aren’t quite lighting it up yet. That’s not a shot at him or his team either so much as it is just speculation as to what may be going through his mind atm. Hopefully this’ll be a great game as I’m fond of both, leaning mind 55/45 for now. Could go either way though.

SV UU: Gilbert arenas vs Eternal Spirit - Two traditionally superb OU players going at it in their new homes. I always love these matchups as you get to see some historically good play brought to lower tier settings, and that’s not even a shot at mainers so much as it is a testament to the greatness of both of these guys. Gama has dominated a few tournaments before and even had great success in individuals with an ST win, but I think this is his first big tournament in UU. He had a nice start against roro before falling to two seasoned UU players and then evening it out last week; it’s probably about what you’d expect for him to trade games early on and then fully put it together later. With this in mind, marcop has had an affinity for navigating these lower tiers dating back to last season in NU and is already popping off here. Dude is just kinda built different and a true subscriber to the mons-is-mons type of headspace. I have full faith in him to keep it going and take this as he already either seems polished or at least comfortable enough to take it to anyone in the tier. Close one and an exciting name matchup for sure, but lean marco given what we have seen.
 
Éric vs tazz
While Eric has stuck the landing in all of his games this tour, between all 4 of his opponent's throughout the tour over 4 weeks they only have one win combined. By his own admission, this week is where the tour starts for him. That being said, 4-0 is 4-0, and when he's not being sabotaged by drifting (ability shield goth im crying.) his teams have a great mix of solid backbone and creative innovation. His first positive opponent being tazz is pretty daunting though, this being tazz's first LC tour of the year has not slowed him down at all and he's slipped right back into form, losing only to the strongest person in the pool. Will be bolding tazz but if eric can get a haxless win here it'd be a great litmus test for if his streak is a plumber farming fluke or a stellar run.
Laroxyl vs Scottie
No thinking really necessary, Osh is Osh, has brought very solid teams every game and piloted them just as well while playing vs one of the strongest lineups of players of the positive players. I think laro has hopped on the wagon for some fraudulent meta minitrends before like corphish and scarf koffing but besides that he's 3rd in the pool and definitely wont lose laying down, probably the highlight game of the week.
Hacker vs Wail Wailord
Mr door money also has no wins vs any opponent's that have won a game but he's proven himself over the gen for this to be an easy bold vs a 0-4 slot. Wail is certainly a good player but last week I think he made a number of decisions that showcased a bit of unfamiliarity with the rhythm of the gen, I would only expect him to be favored if door overthinks the matchup in the builder
(FREE KSG BTW ITS NOT HIS FAULT HE PLAYED THE TOP 3 PLAYERS IN A ROW)
Eniigma vs dcae
Not rlly much to say, neither player gives a fuck abt the tour and one of them is dcae while the other is enigma
 
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Starring: LeChonk O'Neal, Regggie Johning, Kaboom "The Jet" Smith, and Greedy "Chuck" Bark-eb

We in the Little Cup community have felt a lack of quality predictions for LC matches from non-LC players. No more "Dunno who X is" and "Y player is supposed to be good I think?". Therefore, a few of us have decided to come together and provide the highest quality shitpost. To be perfectly honest, we've followed the team records as closely as the OU players follow the LC games. We aren't here to provide commentary on the Gliscor PP stall wars, we prefer our games to max out at 30 turns and to be decided by a Mienfoo High Jump Kick miss. Without further ado, our TNT-style broadcast coverage of the Little Cup games this week.

LeChonk O'Neal: Eric's first big test in SCL. Tazz, as the better player, should be able to bring something standard and win convincingly. 65-35 Tazz favored.
Reggie Johning: Tazz has been displaying both great play and great teams, having only lost Osh so far. Eric is undefeated so far, but his opponents up to this point only have a combined 1 win. This will be his hardest opponent so far. I give the edge to Tazz, who has much better support and has shown his strength with a stronger schedule.
The Jet: Tutor vs tutee meeting on the biggest stage. Both players are off to impressive starts with, Eric boasting an undefeated record. But, his schedule has been of questionable strength, especially when compared to Tazz's. Overall I think Tazz has been cleaner in his games, and the dark horse duo of Eric and Drifting have to flex their creative muscles to pull one out. 70/30 Tazz.
Greedy "Chuck" Bark-eb: I think a lot of people are undermining the results that Éric has put up this season, being one of two currently undefeated players in this stacked LC pool is no easy feat. With probably his toughest opponent yet in tazz, I'm still predicting a 60/40 Éric because he will have an amazing matchup through his prep, and carry his advantage all the way to a victory.

LeChonk O'Neal: Wish I had thoughts on this one. Hacker has no building creativity and will likely load some basic shit and still win because Wail and KSG try to get cute in the teambuilder. 59-41 Hacker favored.
Reggie Johning: Wail is coming off a close loss against Eric in the previous week, and I'm glad he's getting another shot as his SV plays like he did during LCPL. Hacker, a top player in his own right, is also one of the most prolific builders of SV and has kept this up for the DLC meta, even if he's had an average start at 2-2. I'll give Hacker the win here in a close one based on a builder's edge, but will be rooting for my LCPL teammate in Wail.
The Jet: Hacker is the newest of the LCers in SCL, and looks to make a splash with a price tag attached. It's unfortunately been a bumpy start, but with a win under his belt he can try to carry this momentum. Wail isn't a new face to the big stage, being in SCL 1 and SSD 4, but still has to prove themselves in post-DLC SV. Subbing in for KSG and hungry for their first win, we'll see the best they have. Giving the edge to Hacker here off more familiarity with the gen, but its close. 55/45.
Greedy "Chuck" Bark-eb: Two players who are not living up to personal expectations stand in the way of each other's comeback in SCL. Wail is the starter this week after a nail-biting loss to Éric, hoping to bounce back for a strong push for the postseason. Hacker aims to get into Smogon and program all of his High Jump Kicks max-roll citing, bringing his record to a solid 3-2. As several of my cohosts said, this will be one of the closer matches this week but I'm taking Wail 55/45 as clever defensive teras on his team will give him the final push needed for a win.


And now, a word from our sponsors on this 30-second break. Thanks to DreamyFleur for our incredible line of clothing, and grape tylenol for the Mienfoo, Munchlax, and Cubone art used!
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LeChonk O'Neal: Flat out haven't seen Elfu win an LC battle in 4 months. I'm not sure Collette is good at SVLC, but with her and Drifting Ego-Jerking each other up in the LC Discord, she might know what she's doing. 63-37 Collette favored.
Reggie Johning: I have not seen Elfuseon play in ages, and while Collette only just made her first LC SCL (1-0 in NU) start last week, she played quite well and has kept up with the meta. Both are strong players but bolding Collette here.
The Jet: Collette has taken the driver's seat from TKO after a quick detour to NU, and looked promising in their first tour match of this meta. Expecting very tight gameplay, and a fairly standard team. Elfu on the other hand is picking up a slot marred by questionable team choices as their 3rd player to fill the position. Expectations are low, but without much to lose, Elfu has room to experiment and pull the first win for their team. 60/40 Collette.
Greedy "Chuck" Bark-eb: Elfuseon was once a top-tier LC competitor earlier this generation, but has recently struggled to recapture the magic in the newer iterations of the tier. He's hoping to bring the Technical Machines their first LC win this season, but his opponent Collette will do her best to stop that. She has very little history with SV LC as the majority of her recent team tours are in the older gens, but her win last week shows she isn't lost to time. Since I think both players have equal knowledge on the intricacies of SV LC, I'm taking Collette 60/40 as in my opinion she's the better player.

LeChonk O'Neal: I don't know if dcae will even end up playing this match. If subbed in, Cam is not good at LC. Eniigma 60-40 favored.
Reggie Johning: Eniigma and dcae are both good players, but are struggling up to this point. Eniigma's teams have been solid with some interesting but sound ideas, and dcae has brought screens twice. I think Eniigma's team is more likely to cook up some heat for the week, and thus will bold Eniigma. Looking forward to the Phanpy vs Chingling showdown.
The Jet: One of the goats of Little Cup and noted hater of Tera, Dcae hasn't had a showing you'd expect. Motivation is going to be the biggest factor for the rest of the season. Facing a hungry former ladder hero turned LC circuit curb stomper like Eniigma, this could be the most difficult-to-predict game of the season. Could be Dcae looking to reestablish himself, showing Eniigma the strength of an established tour player, or Eniigma's eclectic teambuilding making a statement. 50/50.
Greedy "Chuck" Bark-eb: Two players I have a lot of respect for with their grind of the game. While both are rumored to have effort concerns, I have faith that both players are going to give it their all in order to turn around the latter half of the season. With this in mind, I'm taking dcae 55/45 with this game being the start of his miracle run to the playoffs.

To Laroxyl: This is an extremely big shit post do not take us seriously or hate us afterwards
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Thank you for tuning in on today's show of Little Cup in SCL, we'll catch you soon for coverage of Week 6!
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