That one shouldnt count trust me that was the biggest ref robbery in the history of this sportSouth Korea actually became 4th in 2002
That one shouldnt count trust me that was the biggest ref robbery in the history of this sportSouth Korea actually became 4th in 2002
THERE IS A BIG CHANCE THAT JAPAN GOES THROUGH.Korea is the 4th representative of Asia to lose in the 2nd round of the World Cup group stage
After round 1, I thought there was a lot of chance for Asian countries to make it through the group stage, but not anymore
頑張れ日本! GANBARE NIHON!
There was a split moment in time where Costa Rica and Japan were going to go onto the next round which would've been the craziest thing I think to happen in world cup history because they were this close to knocking out Germany AND Spain (2 of the last 3 teams to win a World Cup).I am so sad Costa Rica didn't win, they could have knocked out Spain and I would have lost my mind. At least Germany lost which is a W
Don't forget about Argentina. Our hermanos (brothers in Spanish, their language) are still alive and quite strong despite their defeat against Saudi Arabia. England and Netherlands are strong too, mainly England the runners-up of Euro 2020. However, I believe we will have a final between Brazil and France. Although France and Spain lost their respective previous matches, I still think France has an edge.De Bruyne said before the tournament (way before, in fairness) that Belgium had no shot at winning despite having a good team because they were too old but Belgium exiting the tournament before the rounds of 16 is nonetheless a huge blow to this team. One can appreciate De Bruyne's honesty but if even he didn't think they could win what were they doing here? Lukaku missed incredible chances he will probably regret for his entire life and I can't imagine what he has been feeling since yesterday especially considering he's a black player and black players playing for european countries are always 1 missed opportunity from being reminded of their skin color (looking at you, England). Strength to him. Back to football Belgium was incredibly limited in ability to play and the absolutely minuscule 1 goal they scored coming from a pass of the central back to Batshuayi is a testament to how poor they were and this elimination was thoroughly deserved. In that group Morocco was clearly a notch or two above everyone else and Croatia could count on a great midfield and a central back who is already a revelation of the tournament in Joško Gvardiol who has been incredible in the two games of Croatia I've watched against Canada and Belgium. Now it's time for Belgium to figure out who they'll keep and who will leave, they aren't starting over but they're pretty close to it.
Speaking of teams who have to start from very far, Germany have two years to figure out how to win important games so as to not embarass themselves yet again during the Euro they're organizing. As opposed to Belgium Germany didn't play so poorly but they lost a game they never should have lost and drew a game against Spain they probably should've won. The World Cup with 32 teams does not forgive such mistakes and that's what makes it a thrilling format. Spain's loss to Japan was surprising but the goals they conceded were not; the first one in particular was the result of a loss of possesion close to the goal, something that Germany was unable to punish despite several gifts. This sends Spain in the path of Morocco and I honestly can't wait, this will assuredly be a historic game. I have relatively little faith in Cameroon being able to beat Brazil who still haven't conceded a single shot on target (their opponents are to blame to an extent but good luck against Thiago Silva and Marquinhos who know the other by heart) but Ghana are in good position against a Uruguay team who has shown literally nothing. That would make 3 African teams advancing which would be a return to form after the Russian debacle.
Overall I would say the favorites are Brazil, France and Spain with Portugal as an outsider from what I've seen in this tournament. Brazil have shown some weaknesses against Switzerland who failed to convert and they can only blame themselves but they're advancing with confidence and a great back-line, two indispensable elements in winning the world cup. I'm a French supporter so I am obviously biased but the main France team has shown composure, concentration and ability to control a game in their first two matches against Australia and Denmark on top of obviously incredible talent in the front so they have the tools to go far, I hope at least. The inability to prevent the other team from scoring since a game against Austria bothers me a lot but in 2018 we won the world cup by conceding 6 goals and scoring 14 and football is as much a game of who concedes less as it is a game of who scores more and with Mbappé, Dembélé and Griezmann in this form I can't see us not scoring in any game going forward. Not to mention we play Poland also know as the team who has good players but who seem to fall into a black hole every time they play for their country. Poland is a team who managed to qualify despite accumulating 0.3 expected goals in two games against Argentina and Mexico, by far the weakest side among the qualified and an unbearably poor football. Allez les bleus !
Great analysis, and I would say what you were saying about Lukaku I was thinking the whole time, where I didn't want a whole country to put blame on a black player, like England did in the Euros. I felt bad for Lukaku he had his chances, but couldn't convert. I wish he played the whole game instead of him subbing in half time.De Bruyne said before the tournament (way before, in fairness) that Belgium had no shot at winning despite having a good team because they were too old but Belgium exiting the tournament before the rounds of 16 is nonetheless a huge blow to this team. One can appreciate De Bruyne's honesty but if even he didn't think they could win what were they doing here? Lukaku missed incredible chances he will probably regret for his entire life and I can't imagine what he has been feeling since yesterday especially considering he's a black player and black players playing for european countries are always 1 missed opportunity from being reminded of their skin color (looking at you, England). Strength to him. Back to football Belgium was incredibly limited in ability to play and the absolutely minuscule 1 goal they scored coming from a pass of the central back to Batshuayi is a testament to how poor they were and this elimination was thoroughly deserved. In that group Morocco was clearly a notch or two above everyone else and Croatia could count on a great midfield and a central back who is already a revelation of the tournament in Joško Gvardiol who has been incredible in the two games of Croatia I've watched against Canada and Belgium. Now it's time for Belgium to figure out who they'll keep and who will leave, they aren't starting over but they're pretty close to it.
Speaking of teams who have to start from very far, Germany have two years to figure out how to win important games so as to not embarass themselves yet again during the Euro they're organizing. As opposed to Belgium Germany didn't play so poorly but they lost a game they never should have lost and drew a game against Spain they probably should've won. The World Cup with 32 teams does not forgive such mistakes and that's what makes it a thrilling format. Spain's loss to Japan was surprising but the goals they conceded were not; the first one in particular was the result of a loss of possesion close to the goal, something that Germany was unable to punish despite several gifts. This sends Spain in the path of Morocco and I honestly can't wait, this will assuredly be a historic game. I have relatively little faith in Cameroon being able to beat Brazil who still haven't conceded a single shot on target (their opponents are to blame to an extent but good luck against Thiago Silva and Marquinhos who know the other by heart) but Ghana are in good position against a Uruguay team who has shown literally nothing. That would make 3 African teams advancing which would be a return to form after the Russian debacle.
Overall I would say the favorites are Brazil, France and Spain with Portugal as an outsider from what I've seen in this tournament. Brazil have shown some weaknesses against Switzerland who failed to convert and they can only blame themselves but they're advancing with confidence and a great back-line, two indispensable elements in winning the world cup. I'm a French supporter so I am obviously biased but the main France team has shown composure, concentration and ability to control a game in their first two matches against Australia and Denmark on top of obviously incredible talent in the front so they have the tools to go far, I hope at least. The inability to prevent the other team from scoring since a game against Austria bothers me a lot but in 2018 we won the world cup by conceding 6 goals and scoring 14 and football is as much a game of who concedes less as it is a game of who scores more and with Mbappé, Dembélé and Griezmann in this form I can't see us not scoring in any game going forward. Not to mention we play Poland also know as the team who has good players but who seem to fall into a black hole every time they play for their country. Poland is a team who managed to qualify despite accumulating 0.3 expected goals in two games against Argentina and Mexico, by far the weakest side among the qualified and an unbearably poor football. Allez les bleus !
2022 | 2018 | 2014 | 2010 | |
UEFA | 8 | 10 | 6 | 6 |
CONMEBOL | 2 | 4 | 5 | 5 |
CONCACAF | 1 | 1 | 3 | 2 |
CAF | 2 | 0 | 2 | 1 |
AFC | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 |
Absolutely mind-blowing groups stage for the AFC (which people wanted to have less slots, might I add ), really great stuff, I like to think that Ghana was motivated by pure hatred there to keep the score 0-2 for as long as possible lol.
KO Bracket:
Left Bracket
NED/USA
ARG/AUS
JPN/CRO
BRS (projected) / KOR
Right Bracket
ENG/SEN
FRA/POL
MAR/ESP
POR / SUI or SRB (projected)
Takeaways:
1) Over/Under on First Round Upsets (top seed or CRO/ESP lose): 1.5?
Anything can absolutely happen, but I do not think AUS, KOR (despite their wonderful entrance), and POL are very likely upset picks for sure. That leaves 5 more up in the air. MAR/ESP is where my eyes are going, but USA is very easy to underrate, POR or CRO could stall out, and hey, ENG is notorious for bad surprises. I think "about 1-2 expected upsets" is reasonable here.Any bets?
2) Sucks to be Spain!
CRO/BRS/ARG would be a brutal gauntlet. Should SPA be happy they lost the group? ...I don't know. A hot MAR into POR is terrifying too, and a projected FRA after that in semis. Nothing they could've done here really, two brutal routes. I would be moderately surprised (but not blown out of my mind) if they made QF. Karma for landing a weaker group? Dunno.
3) But Brazil and Argentina are doing okay!
Brazil has an excellent game against KOR to start, and both their harder opponents, CRO and ARG, could plausibly enough get upset beforehand. They probably have the most favorable bracket spot in the cup. ARG comes in second for me, an even better first fixture and no favorite until a possible semifinals with BRS. And, hey, maybe CRO does them a solid in that front.
4) Balanced Left Side, Top-Heavy Right Side
Right-side has 4 teams I'd call favorites versus 2 for left side: ENG, FRA, and POR should not have so much trouble advancing, but things rapidly become terrifying for them after that. Left has dark horses like CRO, NED, and even USA, though, so it's hardly an easy side.
5) Expected Highest Quality R16 games:
MAR/ESP
JPN/CRO
ENG/SEN
NED/USA
So you predict that no Asian team will make it through the round of 16?I am really not good with predicts huh. Well anyway I'll give it a go:
Netherlands vs USA: Match of outsiders here and I have to give the edge to the Netherlands who look superior both collectively and individually. I remember the Euro the Netherlands did and they were eliminated in the round of 16 without putting much of a fight but Van Dijk wasn't there and now he's ready. The US have been interesting to watch but I think their lack of experience (youngest squad of the tournament) and the accumulation of players who don't play in their clubs will finally catch up to them.
Argentina vs Australia: Nice seeing you, Aussies! Honestly this shouldn't be much of a contest, Australia deserved their qualification but they have looked incredibly limited and Argentina have shown they were able to score against teams who defend 30 meters in front of their goal for 90 minutes. The gap is huge on paper and should be in practice.
France vs Poland: Said it once and I will say it again but this Poland side is the weakest of all the 16 teams remaining, abysmally so. Poland going through would be one of the great upsets in the history of this competition and one of the greatest disasters in French football's history. Despite the necessary apprehension of the match, the logical result should be a thrashing so long as their goalkeeper doesn't become Superman for 1 game.
England vs Senegal: This will probably be a close game but I'll give the edge to England because of their experience. Senegal is talented but they have shown potentially lethal weaknesses in the back as the only team that conceded a goal to Qatar. Such naivety will not be permitted in this round and I think England have both the talent and experience to beat Senegal. I do think it will be a close and interesting game tho.
Japan vs Croatia: Croatia have an ageing team but a team with some of the best players in the world and one of the most cohesive gameplay of the tournament so I give them the edge for this one. Japan has done the performance of qualifying despite playing only the second half of every game of the group stage and I don't think this will fly this time.
Brazil vs South Korea: Brazil will have a tough game but they should go through, especially if Neymar can play. South Korea have shown notable qualities but Brazil look notably superior in all areas, I don't think the late loss to Cameroon is much indication of what they will show against South Korea. The only thing that I could see for South Korea is perfect defending and a ruthless ability to punish the unclear status of the left side of the brazilian defense with both Alex Sandro and Telles being injured (Marquinhos left back was a goofy sight ngl) but Brazil should go through.
Morocco vs Spain: Yes I did say Spain were among my favorites but if an upset can happen this round I think it can be here. I've been really impressed by what Marocco produced in the group stage and they have been among the most impressive teams of the tournament and I think they have the tools to make history and eliminate this Spain side. I think Spain have the potential to go far but they haven't shown that they can avoid imploding as soon the tension goes to 11 and their loss to Japan was rather alarming in this regard. Can they survive to a match that doesn't go their way? They will either have to outrageously dominate or prove it.
Portugal vs Switzerland: This is not gonna be a fun game to watch, I can sense it. Nonetheless I give the edge to Portugal who have a player who can score at any moment (or obtain a penalty) and have some of the best offensive midfielders in the world. I haven't watched much of Switzerland this World Cup but it's never a team I rate very highly. Also considering what happened last year I can't bold them.