THE ROAD TO THE PLAYOFFS
We have arrived at the crossroads of fate and the fated, love and justice, peace and hope, of champions or championed. This, is the 2022 UUSD Playoff Scenario post.....
Welcome to the show - I'm your host (not host of the tour just host of this post), BigFatMantis . Let's see how each of the teams in this year's UUSD can make the playoffs!
Dragon's Den Dragonairs Record: 2-0-4
Points: 8
Differential: +7
The Dragonairs are undefeated but also only have two wins. Needless to say, they are looking pretty good! But they are NOT a lock to make the playoffs! However, it would take the following circumstances for them to NOT make it:
1. They would need to lose to L.A.P.R.A.S. this week
Two of these next three things would also have to happen:
2. Either the Wurmples would have to beat the Primarinas, OR the Primarinas would have to beat the Wurmples by such a subtantial margin that it makes up the 10 point differential difference (so like winning 8-2 and Dragonairs losing 7-3)
3. Volcanions beat the TDKs
4. Sinistea Ministry beats the Sandacondas by such a large margin to make up for the 10 point differential difference.
So if all the stars align (in a terrible fashion), the Dragonairs COULD be looking at the poffs from the other side.
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L.A.P.R.A.S. Record: 3-2-1
Points: 7
Differential: +10
Did you hear that LAPRAS is #2 in the standings? And with the best differential to boot! Who woulda thought? Unfortunately getting into the playoffs will be tough even at that spot, as the competition is immense as we move down now.
Here's how L.A.P.R.A.S. gets in:
Method #1: Win or Tie against the Dragonairs this week and you are guaranteed in (Prims + Sinisteas cannot pass even with 10-0 wins and LAPRAS tie since the differential is too large)
Method #2: Lose to the Dragonairs, but then they MUST have BOTH of these things happen:
1. Sinistea Ministry lose or tie to the Sandacondas
2. Volcanions lose to the TDKs.
If that happens they are in anyways. Otherwise they are swimming to the Orange Islands.
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Hydrophobic Volcanions Record: 3-2-1
Points: 7
Differential: +3
After a commanding start to the season, the Volcanions have now found themselves in a stressful last week situation where they must lift up the hydro cannons and get down to business if they hope to secure a slot. Here's how they get in:
Method #1: Win against the TDKs. No matter what else happens, a win against the TDKs will ensure they are in the playoffs.
Method #2: Tie the TDKs, but then you need TWO of these things to also happen:
1. Sinistea Ministry has to lose or tie the Sandacondas, OR simply win by a modest margin not greater than 7-3.
2. Primarinas either tie or beat the Wurmples by a modest margin not greater than 7-3.
3. L.A.P.R.A.S. loses to the Dragonairs.
If you get two of these three things to happen with a tie, then Volcanions are also in.
Method #3: Lose to the TDKs, but then you MUST have the Sinistea Ministry lose or tie the Sandacondas - that's the only way to get in with a loss.
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Wild Wordle Wurmples Record: 2-1-3
Points: 7
Differential: +0
They're wild, and they know their Wordles, but these Wurmples are hanging on by a slim margin to the 4th and final playoff spot at the moment. Here's how they get in:
Method #1: Win against the Primarinas. This is the best method to get in, and the Wurmples are easily in control of their destiny.
Method #2: Tie against the Primarinas and they are still in if JUST ONE of these three things happen:
1. The Sinistea Ministry needs to either lose, tie, or marginally win (1 point win) vs the Sandacondas. A 2 point win by the Sinisteas would force a tiebreaker scenario in this situation potentially.
2. Volcanions must lose to the TDKs.
3. L.A.P.R.A.S. must lose to the Dragonairs.
So if they tie, and one of these three things happens, the Wurmples are still in.
Method #3: Lose the Primarinas, but then you need both of the following to occur:
1. Volcanions must lose to the TDKs
2. Sinistea Ministry must lose to the Sandacondas
If they lose but these two things still happen, they are still in!
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Paniola Primarinas Record: 2-2-2
Points: 6
Differential: -2
Here is where it starts to get slightly more difficult, as merely winning isn't enough potentially. So, here is how the Primarinas get into the playoffs:
Method #1: Win against the Wurmples, but also make sure at least ONE of these things happens:
1. Volcanions either lose to TDKs, or tie the TDKs while the Prims win as a margin of 8-2 or higher.
2. L.A.P.R.A.S. loses to the Dragonairs.
3. Sinistea Ministry loses or ties the Sandacondas, OR wins by a margin lower than the Prims win margin.
So long as one of those three things happen, and the Prims win, the Prims are in.
Method #2: Tie against the Wurmples, but then you would need a lot of help:
1. Volcanions would have to lose by a large margin (2-8) to the TDKs (but imagine the TDKs playing that many games loooooool)
2. Sinistea Ministry would have to lose to the Sandacondas (or tie to force a tiebreaker scenario).
So, if the Prims tie, they absolutely need these two things to happen to get into the playoffs.
A loss would eliminate the Primarinas from playoff contention entirely.
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Sinistea Ministry Record: 2-2-2
Points: 6
Differential: -2
What a rollercoaster season for the Ministry. After being dead last in the power rankings, they zoom zap zippity zooped to the top of the standings for a while, but after the last few weeks have now fallen to 6th place and in need of some help to reach the playoffs. Here's how the tea gets in:
Method #1: Win against the Sandacondas, but that alone is not enough. You also need at least one of these to happen:
1. Volcanions either lose to TDKs, or tie the TDKs while the Teas win as a margin of 8-2 or higher.
2. L.A.P.R.A.S. loses to the Dragonairs.
3. Primarinas beat the Wurmples, but by a smaller margin than the Sinisteas win margin.
So if just one out of those three things happen, and the Teas win, then they are in!
Method #2: Tie the Sandacondas but then you need some help:
1. Volcanions would have to lose by a large margin (2-8) to the TDKs (but imagine the TDKs playing that many games loooooool)
2. Wurmples would have to beat the Primarinas, or the Primarinas could tie to force a tiebreaker scenario (so long as Point 1. is achieved here).
So the only way for the Teas to In is for both of these things to happen.
A loss would eliminate the Ministry from playoff contention entirely.
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Lake of Outrage Sandacondas Here's how they get in:
Method #1: Go back to Week 5 and tie instead of deadgaming the last games to lose. Then, you would have had a shot because of the big win this week (would have required some help but it was definitely possible, shouldn't have let people convince you that you were out)
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